Thursday, March 21, 2024

What is a Black Swan Event?

Former National Security Advisor General Mike Flynn Predicts a ‘Black Swan’ Event Before 2024 Election 

‘Very, Very Dangerous’: Ron Paul Tells Tucker Americans Should Prepare For ‘Black Swan’ Event

Here is this definition from wikipedia:

The black swan theory or theory of black swan events is a metaphor that describes an event that comes as a surprise, has a major effect, and is often inappropriately rationalized after the fact with the benefit of hindsight. The term is based on an ancient saying that presumed black swans did not exist, until they were discovered in Australia in 1697, and it then became reinterpreted to mean an unforeseen and consequential event.[1]

If a black swan event is predicted, and then occurs, is it still a black swan event?

I think the crats have something up their sleeve for november or before. Isn't that called October Surprise?


6 comments:

  1. You beat me to the punch with "If a black swan event is predicted, and then occurs, is it still a black swan event?"

    Look around you. NOTHING is making sense. ANYTHING can happen and it won't come as a surprise to any of us who are watching! The confusion is not a bug. It's a FEATURE.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. As usual you have hit the nail squarely on the head. Absolutely nothing is making sense. It all appears to be following some schedule of some sort.

      Delete
    2. In the past such an event during an election year was called an "October Surprise".

      Delete
    3. The crats have so much shit going now it's hard to imagine something being a surprise in october. But I fully expect something. Maybe they are arranging a planet killing event.

      Delete
  2. Perhaps an assassination?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. name witheld to avoid suicideMarch 22, 2024 at 11:31 AM

      yeah, they laid the groundwork for that one w/ the iranian "migrant" that they know crossed the border but somehow can't find, but yet they know he's recruiting a cell to kill djt. stay away from grassy knolls donald.

      Delete